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A major scientific article was just published in Environmental Science Letters (UK) by Quebec oceanographers showing spill simulations from Old Harry. Things do not look good for western Nfld as all the coast is susceptible to be impacted.
Authors : Bourgault, Cyr and Dumont (three oceanographers) + Angela Carter (political sciences)
Here’s a link to the 4-minute animation that shows where floating oil would likely end up after a spill: http://iopscience.iop.org/1748-9326/9/5/054001/article
Here is a link to the full scientific article in Environmental Science Letters